Og sent out all of his people to go fight the Jews and the first thing Hashem says to Moshe is (21:34) "Don't fear him, because I have put him in your hand..." Rashi comments here that Moshe was afraid that due to the merit of telling Avharam about Lot Og would be protected, and Hashem is comforting Moshe that this will not protect Og.
The Ramban says that even the chachmim themselves argue on what the fear of Moshe was. The Ramban explains that really Moshe had a different fear. Moshe was not concerned wit the zechut of Og, what he was concerned with was the zechut of bnei yisrael. He was afraid that the Jews would sin during the war and that would lead them to losing, and this is what Hashem was telling Moshe, that they would win the war and there would not be any issues with the people sinning.
Earlier, in the war with Amalek by Har Sinai when Moshe would lift his arms the Jews would be winning, but when he put his arms down the Jews would be losing. Chazal explain that the reason why this happened was that as long as Moshe had his arms up the Jews would be thinking of Hashem and that would lead them to win the war, and nothing else.
We see from here that as much effort as we put in it is really all about our emunah that it will work out that makes us succeed. If we have the necessary emunah then all of the zechuot of our enemies will have no effect on us, but the moment we let our emunah slip then we have no fighting chance.
Our test is that no matter how bad the situation may seem we must have complete confidence that Hashem will make it work out the way it should.
"Hakol bidei shamayim chutz mayirat shamayim!" (Everything is in the Hands of heaven, except the fear of Heaven!)
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